It’s not your father’s 1972

There are many reasons not to be pessimistic about the fall election, no matter how appalling the GOP is on issue after issue, and no matter professional prognostications of impending doom. We have repeatedly said and shown that summer polls are not worth a thing.

While the GOP is no great shakes, the Democratic Party doesn’t appear much better. Ned Lamont a rock star? Puh-leeze. And Nancy Pelosi can’t even control her caucus. Furthermore, the latest theme, Katrina-hype, looks a lot like a mini-tempest to fire up an important part of the Democratic November turnout — just sorry there haven’t been any hurricanes to serve as a MSM backdrop. Thus the Democrats don’t look too confident, at least to us, if they are trying to fire up a segment of the base by using the weather! And on the Republican side, if the prospect of nut-job John Conyers presiding over impeachment hearings under Speaker (and third in presidential succession) Pelosi, and Alcee Hastings destroying US capabilities as head of the Intelligence Committee don’t scare the faithful, nothing will. (See Tom McGuire for additional horror stories.)

Still, it’s hard to make the case that 2006 or 2008 are the equivalent of 1972, when anti-war types were shown the door in the Nixon-McGovern election. For one thing, the sissification of America had not yet happened. The war on boys still lay in the future; the Korea, WWII and earlier generations dominated politics. For another, federal entitlements were still at a very low level.

outlook-4.jpg

The chart understates how massively entitlements have actually increased in the last 35 years or so — because GDP has grown so mightily during that period. In 1970, federal entitlements were about 6% of GDP, but that was “only” $60 billion. 1970 was the year that the US GDP topped $1 trillion for the first time. Today, entitlements alone are around $1 trillion!

The reason that the chart shows that entitlements have continued to be a realtively small part of GDP is that GDP has expanded so rapidly in recent years. As we said last week, the GDP of the United States is ticking away at a pace of $13 trillion at this moment — unprecedented and, indeed, unimaginable.

Part of the corrosion of manliness and willpower in Western Europe is directly attributable to its degeneration into a welfare state of enormous proportions. In France, as we have previously noted, 57% of the economy, including transfer payments and entitlements, goes through the government. Men and women have given up their souls to live micro-regulated lives — is it any wonder that the birthrate has fallen below replacement levels?

Today in the US, we are not Western Europe, but we are also not the America of even 1972. If we are not vigilant, the culture of dependency and its accompanying feminization of politics can, as some in America fervently wish, put the US on the same road to ruin that Western Europe now travels. Some would say we have already gone way too far down that road. It is the moral argument that is perhaps the best argument for limiting entitlement spending.

2 Responses to “It’s not your father’s 1972”

  1. Steven M. Warshawsky Says:

    Hi Dinocrat,

    As I recall, you have run several posts over the past couple years arguing that the United States is a conservative-majority country and that the liberals/Democrats risk becoming irrelevant if they don’t discard their hard left ideas.

    But this post sums up the underlying reality — we are increasingly in the grip of a liberal, feminist welfare state, despite the so-called Republican realignment of the past 30+ years. This trumps any red state-blue state analysis of the week. The truth is that we are moving steadily down the same socialist, pacifist path as Europe. Sadly, I suspect we are only a few decades, a few more military set backs, and millions more Third World immigrants, from becoming France. And our great partner, Great Britain, will get there before us.

    While I still believe there is some hope for this country, I fear that my life span will be a dark contrast with my grandmother’s (1911-90). See saw the rise of an industrial, military, and diplomatic giant. The greatest nation and culture the world has ever seen. My life will likely see the end of the America as we know it.

  2. larwyn Says:

    These classics from first Gerard VanDerLeun
    and Robert Godwin of One Cosmos should scare
    us silly. Sad that many think forcing the girly on
    our men is laudable.

    The Voice of the Neuter is Heard Throughout the Land

    The Voice of the Neuter is Heard Throughout the Land

    The Pathetic Last Children of Nietzsche’s Pitiable Last Men

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