Giving us the fingar, or what?

Deputy Director of the Central Intelligence Agency for Analysis Thomas Fingar, one of the three authors of the most recent Iran NIE, said the very opposite of the current findings in July 2007, in a report to Congress:

Iran is continuing to pursue uranium enrichment and has shown more interest in protracting negotiations and working to delay and diminish the impact of UNSC sanctions than in reaching an acceptable diplomatic solution. We assess that Tehran is determined to develop nuclear weapons — despite its international obligations and international pressure.

A few months ago Fingar said one thing; now he apparently has the opposite opinion. While we continue to favor the view that, on balance, there appears to be some strategy at work behind the recent moves by the Bush administration, it is very difficult to explain coherently the 180 degree turnaround in opinion about Iran’s capabilities and intentions so recently put forward by very senior members of the intelligence community. (HT: Michael Goldfarb)

One Response to “Giving us the fingar, or what?”

  1. MarkD Says:

    We should plan for the worst case, and hope for better.

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