It seems a little odd to us that, so close to the actual voting, many polls do not agree on who is ahead in Iowa, and by numbers that sometimes appear to be outside the margin of error. Some of the differences are apparently due to the number of independents included in the polling data. (And of course many Iowans don’t count at all if they can’t show up on the appointed night.) There is little point in speculating so close to the actual voting, but it will be interesting to see what the surprises are, if any.

Looking ahead to both Iowa and New Hampshire, we’re hoping for a year like 1992, when a presidential aspirant lost both states and went on to get nominated and win the general election — it would be nice to see the “cockamamie” importance of these rather unrepresentative states in presidential politics toned down a bit.

This entry was posted on Wednesday, January 2nd, 2008 at 11:55 am and is filed under Democrats, General, Polling, Republicans. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.