This fellow has a very interesting analysis of the accuracy of pre-election polls that will either vanish down the memory hole quickly or become something to be pondered at leisure in the coming days. Meanwhile there’s this from US News:

I just talked to one of my best Team McCain sources who told me that heading into today all the key battleground polls were moving hard and fast in their direction. The source, hardly a perma-optimist, thinks it will be a long night, but that McCain is going to win. So add this with the new Battleground poll (Obama +1.9 only) and the rising stock market…

On the other hand, John Dickerson says: “An Obama loss would mean the majority of pundits, reporters, and analysts were wrong. Pollsters would have to find a new line of work, since Obama has been ahead in all 159 polls taken in the last six weeks. The massive crowds that have regularly turned out to see Obama would turn out to have meant nothing.” We’ll know soon who is right.

This entry was posted on Tuesday, November 4th, 2008 at 10:15 pm and is filed under Democrats, General, Polling, Republicans. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.