As we said

The administration’s galactic incompetence in addressing the stabilizing of the financial system has created an almost risk-free environment for those who would capitalize on this moment to take the best companies in America out behind the barn and shoot them, as a Fed President says at the bottom of this piece. Bloomberg:

General Electric Co. investors are treating the company as though it’s on the verge of failing ahead of a potential cut in its top-level AAA rating. “It’s a leper right now,” said Marilyn Cohen, president of Envision Capital Management Inc. in Los Angeles, who oversees $180 million in fixed-income assets and no longer own GE bonds. Bankruptcy “seems improbable, but we’ve seen improbable things happen,” Cohen said.

GE, which just posted its third-highest annual profit ever, has lost about $264 billion in market value in 12 months. Yesterday it fell a fourth straight day to the lowest closing price since November 1992, feeding a surge in options volume and credit-default swaps. Investors are punishing the shares on a presumption, which the company disputes, that GE Capital will need more outside funding to cover potential writedowns and losses in real estate, consumer credit cards and leasing.

The run underscores how stock investors may have lost confidence in companies with finance operations — even those like GE that own industrial businesses, still predict a profit, and operate with some degree of backing from the U.S. government. While federal commercial paper liquidity backstops and debt guarantees since October have prevented the type of creditor panics that sank Bear Stearns Cos. and Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc., a former Federal Reserve official says the programs haven’t made a convincing case for stock investors.

“Creditors are being bailed out everywhere but equity owners are not,” said William Poole, president of the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank until March 2008. “What that does is create cascading weakness because you can’t raise any equity capital.”

Because of the pathetic performance of Geithner and the Obama administration, GE won’t be the last company to get this simple and vicious treatment. If things don’t change, it’ll be coming to a bank, insurance company or industrial corporation near you.

3 Responses to “As we said”

  1. feeblemind Says:

    Over at the blog Decline and Fall of Western Civilization, there is a blog post titled ‘GE neck deep in Eastern Europe’. The gist of it is that big losses are coming and that earnings have been overstated. There are some interesting to links there to follow as well.

  2. gs Says:

    The administration’s galactic incompetence…

    What’s Obama doing today? Fixing healthcare!

    Opening his conference on health-care, Obama…said the country can’t afford to wait for the economy to recover before tackling out-of-control medical costs.

    Even the NYT’s Roger Cohen has reservations and says he doesn’t want the US to become another France. Heh: I’ve been thinking of Obama as President Clouseau.

    Apparently his approval ratings are holding up, but I’d like to see them broken down by education, income, gender and race.
    *******************
    Thanks, feeblemind, here’s the post you mentioned. Yes, the links were interesting too.

  3. ECM Says:

    Thanks for the info, feeblemind, but the guy that runs that site is as big a crackpot as most of the people he’s busily labeling as such on that selfsame page–sorta ironic, if ya ask me.

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