Cause and effect

Peter Ferrara takes us on a tour of capital gains tax rate changes:

over the past 40 years, every time capital gains tax rates have been cut, revenues have increased, and every time capital gains tax rates have been increased, revenues have declined.

In 1968, a 25% capital gains tax rate generated real capital gains tax revenues of $40.6 billion calculated in 2000 dollars. The capital gains tax rate was then raised 4 times in the next 7 years to 35%. By 1975, at the higher rate, capital gains revenues totaled $19.6 billion in constant 2000 dollars, less than half as much.

In 1978, the capital gains tax rate of 35% yielded $29.9 billion in 2000 dollars. The rate was then cut 3 times to 20% over the next 4 years. By 1986, the new rate, 43% lower than the 1978 rate, raised $92.9 billion in 2000 dollars, about three times as much.

The capital gains rate was raised by 40% the next year, to 28%. Capital gains revenues fell to $56.2 billion that year, and declined all the way to $34.6 billion by 1991.

In 1997, Congress cut the capital gains tax rate from 28% back down to 20%. Despite this almost 30% cut in the rate, capital gains revenues rose from $62 billion in 1996 to $109 billion in 1999. Revenues over the period 1997 to 2000 increased by 84% over the projections before the tax cut.

Finally, Congress cut the capital gains rate from 20% to 15% in 2003. Capital gains revenues doubled from 2003 to 2005, despite this 25% cut in the rate. Revenues increased by $133 billion

So what’s the conclusion? Perhaps that we should raise the capital gains rate, even though that would create economic disincentives and bring in less tax revenue — after all, it’s about fairness.

2 Responses to “Cause and effect”

  1. BC Says:

    You’re absolutely right. It has nothing to do with common sense and what’s best for the country. It doesn’t even have to do with fairness…something almost every American believes in. It has to do with an attitude of, “If I don’t have it then you can’t have it either.” It’s the simple games that jealous people play.

    Hey, instead of being jealous of what others have, why not start by being satisfied (and very, very thankful) that you have so much more than almost everyone else in the world. Then, if you still want more, go out and work for it and quit moaning about what other people have.

  2. bill Says:

    Yeah, it’s about the appearance of punishing the rich. Real reform would require control of special interests that own DC.

    Unions wrecked Detroit, yet Detroit must be the model Obama is using for the whole country. This time it is not just a union shaking down a free market corporation, it is our government union shaking down capitalism.

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