“President Obama is retaining his commanding lead over Mitt Romney in Pennsylvania, topping the Republican presidential nominee by 12 points in a poll released Wednesday by Franklin & Marshall College”…To appreciate just how important the use of registered voters is, consider that the aforementioned Franklin & Marshall College poll in Pennsylvania found 50 percent of its sample identifying as Democratic. In 2008 – the best year for Democrats in over a decade – only 44 percent of the Pennsylvania electorate called itself Democratic. And combine this point with the last point to consider that, in a poll that is 50 percent Democratic, Obama is only pulling in 48 percent!
The sample bias is just plain crazy because it’s an exercise in self-delusion. In November they’re going to rue the day they allowed this to happen. Mitt Romney is way ahead in the race. Moreover, we’d bet dollars to doughnuts that the polls overstate the president’s support among key portions of the electorate, since they don’t want to be called names by people in the media and others.