So it turned out that the state polls were fairly accurate after all. What seems peculiar to us, particularly after the 2010 elections, is that Romney apparently got 2-3 million fewer votes than McCain got in 2008, and 5 million fewer votes than Bush got in 2004. As for Obama, the Axelrod team really did build that — an organization that sliced and diced the electorate and got them to vote, even though the president got about 9-10 million fewer votes than last time. It’s noteworthy that had Obama lost, the newly high-profile Bill Clinton would arguably have become the most important figure in the Democrat party; as things turned out, the DLC is dead.
It seems bizarre to us that McCain and Bush did so much better than Romney. How is this possible? Every anecdotal puzzle piece pointed to far greater enthusiasm for Romney than for McCain, and few GOP voters will tell you that 2012 was less important then 2004. What happened?